North American Breeding Bird Survey Summary and Analysis Website 1966-2019

Citation:

Sauer, J. R., D. K. Niven, J. E. Hines, D. J. Ziolkowski, Jr, K. L. Pardieck, J. E. Fallon, and W. A. Link. 2019. The North American Breeding Bird Survey, Results and Analysis 1966 - 2019. Version 2.07.2019 USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, MD  Dedicated to Chandler S. Robbins, originator of the Breeding Bird Survey.

This website provides visualizations of population change for North American birds using data from the North American Breeding Bird Survey (BBS). The BBS is analyzed for a "core" area (contiguous United States and southern Canada, results available from 1966-present), and for an "expanded" survey area (including portions of Alaska and northern Canada with results from 1993-present). Results are available at survey-wide, country, state or province, Bird Conservation region, and individual survey route (US only). For all scales, annual indices of abundance are displayed along with population trend estimates. Maps provide visualizations of population change via colors (red color indicates significant decline, yellow is nonsignificant decline, light blue is nonsignificant increase and dark blue is significant increase). For the analysis of 2019 data, results for each species are based on one of 4 alternative models based on a model selection procedure described in Link et al. (2020).

The program has 4 parts (1) A species selection window; (2) Pull-down menus (Data, Scale, Years, Metadata); (3) A map window; and (4) A graph window.

Here is how it works:

  1. Select a species (click on the name). Note that some species only occur in the expanded survey area and can only be selected when the expanded survey area is selected from the Data menu.
  2. Select from the pull-down menus.
    1. Data: Select Core area (results from 1966-2019) or Expanded area (1993-2019)
    2. Scale: Select Continental, US/Canada, State/Province, or Bird Conservation Region.
    3. Optional selections:
    4. Years: This selection is for custom analyses of years for interactive trend analysis.
    5. Metadata: Links to metadata and summary data downloads.
  3. When Species, Data, and Scale are selected, a map will appear for the regions. It will have colors that summarize change for the species by region (red=decline, blue=increase).
  4. Scroll the cursor over the region of interest. The will cause the region name and trend estimate (%/yr, and N of routes) to appear above the map, and a graph of the annual indices and 95% credible intervals will appear in the graph window.
  5. Left click on the region. This will open a window in which the trend and annual index data will be listed. If you select a span of years other than the default years (from the Years menu), then the website will conduct a custom trend analysis for those years.
  6. Right click on the region (States only). This will display the locations of the survey routes within the state. By moving the cursor over the routes, relative abundance of the selected species will appear on the top banner of the maps. Clicking on a route will display trends and counts for the route. Note: The route paths have not been updated since 2012, and do not reflect any changes in route paths since 2012.

Some additional details:

General Information

References and additional information

  • Metadata for Analysis Website
  • Description of Current Model Set and Models for BBS Analyses (Link, Sauer, and Niven 2020, Ecology)
  • Description of Hierarchical Model for Estimation of Population Change (Link and Sauer 2002, Ecology)
  • Paper Describing Expanded BBS Region (Sauer et al. 2017, Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management)
  • General Information About the BBS

  • About BBS (from Operations Website)
  • Overview of BBS
  • North American Fauna - BBS Monograph This links to a comprehensive summary and analysis of the BBS data covering the period 1966-2011.
  • Taxonomic Information