PROGRAM ESTIMATE
Program ESTIMATE is an old FORTRAN program to estimate survival and recovery
rates from band-recovery data. A more modern, flexible program for this type
of analysis is program MARK (a Windows program written by Gary White) which is
available at the following web site:
http://www.cnr.colostate.edu/~gwhite/mark/mark.htm.
There is no "user's manual" for this program, but the methods used by the
program (and some outdated instructions) are described in:
Brownie, C., D.R. Anderson, K.P. Burnham, and D.S. Robson. 1985.
Statistical Inference from Band Recovery Data-A Handbook. 2nd
edition. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, Resource Publication 156.
Input data for ESTIMATE consists of a vector of bandings and a matrix of
recoveries from those bandings. Output consists of survival and recovery rate
estimates under a sequence of models.
An example follows:
PINK FOOTED GOOSE DATA (FROM BOYD. 1956. J. ANIMAL ECOL.)
3 41950
32 22 16 7
70 50 9
57 29
301 766 897
In this example, birds were banded in 3 years and recoveries were recorded in
4 years. Banding began in 1950 when 301 birds were banded; 32 recoveries were
reported in 1950 from the cohort banded in 1950. During 1952, 16 recoveries
were reported from the cohort banded in 1950, 50 recoveries were reported from
the cohort banded in 1951, and 52 recoveries were reported from the cohort
banded in 1952. 897 birds were banded during the final year of the experiment
(1952). This example data set is discussed and analyzed by Seber (1970.
Biometrika).
The program (ESTIMATE) can be run on-line via the following web-site:
http://www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/software/estimate.html
where an input text box will accept the input file described below. The usual
procedure for running the program on the web is to create an input file on
your PC, select all of the text and copy to the clipboard, then paste the text
into the input box in your web browser. Then click the 'Perform Analysis'
button. Output will appear in the web browser.
FORTRAN source code for ESTIMATE is available from the following web site:
ftp://pwrcftpr.er.usgs.gov/research/software/source/estimate.zip
A PC DOS executable version of the program can be downloaded from:
ftp://pwrcftpr.er.usgs.gov/research/software/estimate.zip.
The DOS executable version of ESTIMATE (estimate.exe) must be run in an MSDOS
window under WINDOWS. Input should be created as a 'ascii text' file using one
of the two formats described below. Output will be displayed on the screen by
default, but should be redirected to an output file for evaluation.
Two sample input data files are included in the zip archive:
ESTIN1 is an example data file using the old format where the recovery matrix
and banding vector were aligned by column. Each entry in the recovery matrix
occupies 4 columns and entries in the banding vector occupies 5 columns.
Blanks are read in as zeros. The first line contains the title (alphanumeric
description of the data). The second line contains the number of years of
banding (columns 1-3), the number of years of recovery (columns 4-6), followed
by a 4-digit number indicating the first year of banding. Following line 2 are
lines making up the recovery matrix (4 columns each). The last line (or 2
lines if there are more than 16 years of banding) is the vector of bandings (5
columns each). Note in this example that when there are 10,000 or more
bandings in a year, there is no space separating the numbers in adjacent
years.
ESTIN3 is an example data file which uses the modifications to ESTIMATE. By
entering '(*)' on the parameter card (the second line of input), free form
input can be used for the recovery matrix and banding vector (ie. numbers are
separated by a space, and don't have to be placed in specific columns). The
numbers in the second line still have to be placed in specific columns.
To run ESTIMATE on the example input file ESTIN1 and send output to the
printer, open an MSDOS window, change to the directory (folder) where program
ESTIMATE resides, then type:
estimate <estin1 >prn
If you have questions, problems or comments with this program please contact:
Jim Hines, Computer Specialist - USGS
Patuxent Wildlife Research Center
11510 American Holly Dr. Rm 201
Laurel, Md. 20708-4017
Phone:(301)(301)497-5661
fax:(301)497-5667
internet: jim_hines%40usgs.gov