Output used to produce Table 1.
Click here to go to relevent section.
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NOTE: TYPE = REVERSED CAP-HISTORY RECORDS
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JOLLY (Ver:01/24/91) 'REVERSED Mp data, sexes combined,both halves (y=1-15), pers 1-11 11/ 2/99 13:21
Number of sampling periods = 11
Input format = (9x,12i1)
Max iterations = 100
Convergence criterion = 0.1000E-03
Time period interval lengths =
1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000 1.00000000
Data type:CAPTURE HISTORY (1) - (9x,12i1)
456 Input records read
Data summarized in "B-Table" format (See Leslie, Chitty and Chitty 1953; Biometrika 40:137-169).
Time of !
last ! Time of recapture
capture ! 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
-----------------------------------------------------------------
1 ! 0 11 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 ! 0 0 22 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 ! 0 0 0 63 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 ! 0 0 0 0 73 3 0 0 0 0 0
5 ! 0 0 0 0 0 67 1 0 0 0 0
6 ! 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 6 0 0 1
7 ! 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 1 0 0
8 ! 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 9 3
9 ! 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 8
10 ! 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29
11 ! 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Marked ! 0 11 24 69 76 70 47 42 19 24 41
Unmarked! 32 28 57 77 31 57 50 28 33 37 21
Caught ! 32 39 81 146 107 127 97 70 52 61 62
Released! 32 39 81 146 107 127 97 70 52 61 62
Other summary stats:
R(i) ! 16 26 65 76 68 53 37 30 23 29 0
z(i) ! 0 5 7 3 3 1 7 2 13 12 0
z'(i) ! 419 396 341 260 229 170 126 93 71 33 0
JOLLY (Ver:01/24/91) 'REVERSED Mp data, sexes combined,both halves (y=1-15), pers 1-11 11/ 2/99 13:21
-- Model A -- Jolly-Seber capture-recapture model with both death and immigration
Div/0 Denotes estimates which cannot be computed due to poor data (EG R(I)=0). Means do not include these time periods.
==== Survival rate estimates between sampling periods ==== Interval Survival rate estimates per unit time (PHI**(1/T(i))
Period PHI SE(PHI) SE'(PHI) 95% Conf. interval COV(PHI(i,i-1)) Length PHI SE(PHI) 95% Conf. interval COV(PHI(i,i-1))
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 0.5752 0.1093 0.0656 0.3611 - 0.7894 1.0000 0.5752 0.1093 0.3611 - 0.7894
2 0.7032 0.0812 0.0459 0.5440 - 0.8624 -.0020867778 1.0000 0.7032 0.0812 0.5440 - 0.8624 -0.0020867778
3 0.8329 0.0494 0.0298 0.7361 - 0.9296 -.0004733818 1.0000 0.8329 0.0494 0.7361 - 0.9296 -0.0004733818
4 0.5317 0.0428 0.0138 0.4479 - 0.6156 -.0002141209 1.0000 0.5317 0.0428 0.4479 - 0.6156 -0.0002141209
5 0.6478 0.0491 0.0191 0.5516 - 0.7439 -.0001074309 1.0000 0.6478 0.0491 0.5516 - 0.7439 -0.0001074309
6 0.5027 0.0637 0.0461 0.3779 - 0.6276 -.0001172677 1.0000 0.5027 0.0637 0.3779 - 0.6276 -0.0001172677
7 0.4038 0.0548 0.0303 0.2964 - 0.5112 -.0009418452 1.0000 0.4038 0.0548 0.2964 - 0.5112 -0.0009418452
8 0.6390 0.1168 0.1027 0.4100 - 0.8679 -.0004832948 1.0000 0.6390 0.1168 0.4100 - 0.8679 -0.0004832948
9 0.5996 0.1089 0.0944 0.3861 - 0.8130 -.0055897174 1.0000 0.5996 0.1089 0.3861 - 0.8130 -0.0055897174
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 0.6040 0.0216 0.0113 0.5617 - 0.6463 0.6040 0.0216 0.5617 - 0.6463
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Period M SE'(M) 95% Conf. interval N SE(N) SE'(N) 95% Conf. interval
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 18.41 2.10 14.29 - 22.52 61.36 12.11 11.47 37.62 - 85.09
3 32.70 1.54 29.68 - 35.71 107.25 11.19 10.25 85.31 - 129.18
4 74.73 2.34 70.14 - 79.32 156.93 8.00 5.91 141.26 - 172.60
5 80.70 1.68 77.41 - 83.98 113.18 7.42 2.80 98.64 - 127.73
6 72.37 1.84 68.77 - 75.97 130.47 7.58 3.43 115.62 - 145.32
7 65.05 5.89 53.50 - 76.60 132.82 15.38 13.87 102.68 - 162.95
8 46.58 2.55 41.58 - 51.58 76.91 7.77 4.60 61.68 - 92.14
9 47.71 7.50 33.02 - 62.40 126.43 26.98 26.35 73.54 - 179.31
10 48.80 6.20 36.64 - 60.96 121.02 21.31 20.29 79.25 - 162.79
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 54.12 1.38 51.41 - 56.82 114.04 5.58 4.46 103.10 - 124.98
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Period p SE(p) 95% Conf. interval B SE(B) 95% Conf. interval COV(B(i),B(i-1))
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 0.5976 0.1325 0.3378 - 0.8573 64.10 12.59 39.42 - 88.78
3 0.7340 0.0846 0.5683 - 0.8997 67.61 10.32 47.38 - 87.83 -75.23
4 0.9234 0.0421 0.8408 - 1.0059 29.74 3.00 23.86 - 35.63 -9.46
5 0.9418 0.0325 0.8781 - 1.0055 57.15 2.59 52.08 - 62.23 -1.96
6 0.9672 0.0321 0.9044 - 1.0301 67.22 9.49 48.62 - 85.83 -2.30
7 0.7225 0.0853 0.5554 - 0.8896 23.28 4.79 13.88 - 32.68 -33.22
8 0.9017 0.0653 0.7736 - 1.0297 77.28 21.43 35.28 - 119.29 -4.35
9 0.3983 0.0940 0.2140 - 0.5825 45.22 18.97 8.04 - 82.40 -241.63
10 0.4918 0.0945 0.3065 - 0.6771
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 0.7420 0.0301 0.4329 - 0.5507 53.95 3.12 47.84 - 60.07
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
JOLLY (Ver:01/24/91) 'REVERSED Mp data, sexes combined,both halves (y=1-15), pers 1-11 11/ 2/99 13:21
Contingency table Goodness-of-fit test
--------------------------------------
Component 1 Component 2
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 2 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 6.00! 20.00! Cap in i ! 0.00! 0.00! 11.00!
Expected value ! 7.33! 18.67! Expected value ! 0.00! 0.00! 11.00!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 5.00! 8.00! Cap after, not in i ! 0.00! 0.00! 5.00!
Expected value ! 3.67! 9.33! Expected value ! 0.00! 0.00! 5.00!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 1.0130 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.3142) Chi-square = 0.0000 with 0 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=1.0000)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 3 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 21.00! 44.00! Cap in i ! 2.00! 6.00! 16.00!
Expected value ! 19.26! 45.74! Expected value ! 3.87! 4.65! 15.48!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 3.00! 13.00! Cap after, not in i ! 3.00! 0.00! 4.00!
Expected value ! 4.74! 11.26! Expected value ! 1.13! 1.35! 4.52!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 1.1319 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.2874) Chi-square = 0.2147 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.6431)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 4 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 36.00! 40.00! Cap in i ! 6.00! 21.00! 42.00!
Expected value ! 35.92! 40.08! Expected value ! 6.71! 20.12! 42.17!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 33.00! 37.00! Cap after, not in i ! 1.00! 0.00! 2.00!
Expected value ! 33.08! 36.92! Expected value ! 0.29! 0.88! 1.83!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 0.0007 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=1.0000) Chi-square = 0.0000 with 0 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=1.0000)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 5 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 55.00! 13.00! Cap in i ! 3.00! 35.00! 38.00!
Expected value ! 48.30! 19.70! Expected value ! 2.89! 34.63! 38.48!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 21.00! 18.00! Cap after, not in i ! 0.00! 1.00! 2.00!
Expected value ! 27.70! 11.30! Expected value ! 0.11! 1.37! 1.52!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 8.8039 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.0030) Chi-square = 0.0000 with 0 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=1.0000)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 6 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 27.00! 26.00! Cap in i ! 3.00! 54.00! 13.00!
Expected value ! 29.21! 23.79! Expected value ! 2.96! 54.23! 12.82!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 43.00! 31.00! Cap after, not in i ! 0.00! 1.00! 0.00!
Expected value ! 40.79! 33.21! Expected value ! 0.04! 0.77! 0.18!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 0.6408 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.4234) Chi-square = 0.0000 with 0 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=1.0000)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 7 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 17.00! 20.00! Cap in i ! 1.00! 21.00! 25.00!
Expected value ! 17.93! 19.07! Expected value ! 0.87! 23.50! 22.63!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 30.00! 30.00! Cap after, not in i ! 0.00! 6.00! 1.00!
Expected value ! 29.07! 30.93! Expected value ! 0.13! 3.50! 3.37!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 0.1506 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.6980) Chi-square = 3.6939 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.0546)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 8 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 17.00! 13.00! Cap in i ! 6.00! 17.00! 19.00!
Expected value ! 18.00! 12.00! Expected value ! 6.68! 16.23! 19.09!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 25.00! 15.00! Cap after, not in i ! 1.00! 0.00! 1.00!
Expected value ! 24.00! 16.00! Expected value ! 0.32! 0.77! 0.91!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 0.2431 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.6220) Chi-square = 0.0000 with 0 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=1.0000)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 9 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 11.00! 12.00! Cap in i ! 1.00! 11.00! 7.00!
Expected value ! 8.40! 14.60! Expected value ! 1.19! 10.09! 7.72!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 8.00! 21.00! Cap after, not in i ! 1.00! 6.00! 6.00!
Expected value ! 10.60! 18.40! Expected value ! 0.81! 6.91! 5.28!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 2.2661 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.1322) Chi-square = 0.2775 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.5984)
1st cap before i-1,!
I= 10 1st cap 1st cap not cap cap ! 1st cap
before i in i in i-1 in i-1 ! in i-1
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & recap ! 10.00! 19.00! Cap in i ! 9.00! 7.00! 8.00!
Expected value ! 11.41! 17.59! Expected value ! 8.67! 7.33! 8.00!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Cap in i, released & not recap ! 14.00! 18.00! Cap after, not in i ! 4.00! 4.00! 4.00!
Expected value ! 12.59! 19.41! Expected value ! 4.33! 3.67! 4.00!
+--------+--------+ +--------+--------+--------+
Chi-square = 0.5475 with 1 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.4594) Chi-square = 0.0839 with 2 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.9589)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chi-square = 14.7975 with 9 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.0966) Chi-square = 4.2700 with 5 Degrees of freedom (Prob.=0.5112)
Overall chi-square = 19.0675 with 14 degrees of freedom (Prob. =0.1624)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
JOLLY (Ver:01/24/91) 'REVERSED Mp data, sexes combined,both halves (y=1-15), pers 1-11 11/ 2/99 13:21
Model D - Constant survival rate per unit time, constant capture probability.
Parameters: PHI = Estimate of survival rate
p = Capture probability
Definitions:
THETA = Vector of parameters
1-X(i) = Probability that an animal alive just after period i is subsequently recaptured
T(i) = Time units between periods i and i+1
Starting values of THETA : 0.6040 0.7420
Final values after 3 iterations:
Standard
Parameter Variance error 95% confidence interval Covariance(P,PHI)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHI 0.5834 0.00029851 0.0173 0.5495 - 0.6173 -0.00010339
p 0.7933 0.00058564 0.0242 0.7459 - 0.8407
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Period M Variance error 95% confidence interval
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 17.74 1.9588 1.40 14.99 - 20.48
3 34.36 3.8963 1.97 30.50 - 38.23
4 79.82 9.5745 3.09 73.75 - 85.88
5 87.58 10.6002 3.26 81.19 - 93.96
6 78.71 9.5226 3.09 72.66 - 84.76
7 59.86 7.0283 2.65 54.67 - 65.06
8 48.79 5.6601 2.38 44.12 - 53.45
9 35.54 4.1380 2.03 31.55 - 39.52
10 40.50 5.4607 2.34 35.92 - 45.08
11 51.68 15.1247 3.89 44.06 - 59.31
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 53.46 13.5797 3.69 46.23 - 60.68
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Period N Variance error 95% confidence interval
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 53.03 12.7782 3.57 46.03 - 60.04
3 106.22 29.3977 5.42 95.59 - 116.84
4 176.88 49.8224 7.06 163.04 - 190.71
5 126.65 25.0351 5.00 116.85 - 136.46
6 150.56 37.8957 6.16 138.49 - 162.62
7 122.89 30.4055 5.51 112.08 - 133.70
8 84.08 17.5023 4.18 75.88 - 92.28
9 77.13 17.9234 4.23 68.84 - 85.43
10 87.14 21.5706 4.64 78.03 - 96.24
11 78.15 24.7967 4.98 68.39 - 87.91
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 106.27 79.2871 8.90 88.82 - 123.73
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Period B Variance error 95% confidence interval
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 67.60 25.9874 5.10 57.60 - 77.59
3 88.40 37.9528 6.16 76.32 - 100.47
4 27.37 24.1634 4.92 17.74 - 37.01
5 67.14 26.3046 5.13 57.09 - 77.19
6 54.36 26.8018 5.18 44.22 - 64.51
7 27.70 18.0093 4.24 19.38 - 36.01
8 37.34 16.1280 4.02 29.47 - 45.21
9 41.62 18.3684 4.29 33.22 - 50.02
10 20.85 13.4063 3.66 13.67 - 28.02
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 48.04 10.1568 3.19 41.80 - 54.29
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
JOLLY (Ver:01/24/91) 'REVERSED Mp data, sexes combined,both halves (y=1-15), pers 1-11 11/ 2/99 13:21
Model B - Constant survival rate per unit time, time-specific capture probabilities.
Parameters: PHI = Survival rate per unit time
p(i) = Capture probability in period i
Starting value of PHI, p(i):
0.5834 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933 0.7933
0.7933
( 1)Convergence failure after 9 iterations
THETA = 0.567881 0.595111 0.630058 -5.91358 -2.65322 -.608540 0.492724 0.514012 0.632707 0.570817
0.494398
THETA1 = 0.567881 0.595111 0.630058 -12.4029 -5.52639 -.785765 0.475762 0.505013 0.625805 0.571984
0.509380
Starting value of PHI, p(i):
0.5834 0.5976 0.7340 0.9234 0.9418 0.9672 0.7225 0.9017 0.3983 0.4918
0.7420
Final values after 4 iterations:
Standard 95%
Parameter Estimate Variance Error Confidence interval Covariance(p(i),PHI) i T(i) PHI**T(i)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHI 0.5977 0.00037875 0.0195 0.5596 - 0.6359
p( 2) 0.5554 0.01529355 0.1237 0.3130 - 0.7978 -0.00007522 1 1.0000 0.5977
p( 3) 0.7164 0.00728132 0.0853 0.5492 - 0.8837 -0.00004582 2 1.0000 0.5977
p( 4) 0.9511 0.00074846 0.0274 0.8975 - 1.0047 -0.00000654 3 1.0000 0.5977
p( 5) 0.9267 0.00149689 0.0387 0.8509 - 1.0025 -0.00003945 4 1.0000 0.5977
p( 6) 0.9757 0.00056028 0.0237 0.9293 - 1.0221 -0.00001850 5 1.0000 0.5977
p( 7) 0.6873 0.00532468 0.0730 0.5443 - 0.8303 -0.00023720 6 1.0000 0.5977
p( 8) 0.6994 0.00816916 0.0904 0.5223 - 0.8766 -0.00047854 7 1.0000 0.5977
p( 9) 0.3693 0.00580497 0.0762 0.2200 - 0.5186 -0.00026889 8 1.0000 0.5977
p( 10) 0.4793 0.00691988 0.0832 0.3163 - 0.6423 -0.00035653 9 1.0000 0.5977
p( 11) 0.7878 0.01128391 0.1062 0.5795 - 0.9960 -0.00083613 10 1.0000 0.5977
----------------------------------------------------------
p(MEAN) 0.7148 0.00628831 0.0793 0.5594 - 0.8703
----------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Period M Variance error 95% confidence interval
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 20.26 5.7745 2.40 15.55 - 24.97
3 35.13 5.6589 2.38 30.47 - 39.79
4 73.51 2.2065 1.49 70.60 - 76.42
5 81.45 4.0255 2.01 77.51 - 85.38
6 71.87 1.5787 1.26 69.41 - 74.33
7 64.32 16.1216 4.02 56.45 - 72.19
8 54.00 18.9980 4.36 45.46 - 62.54
9 49.81 28.6041 5.35 39.33 - 60.29
10 49.69 24.2239 4.92 40.04 - 59.34
11 52.05 34.8187 5.90 40.48 - 63.61
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 55.21 29.2412 5.41 44.61 - 65.81
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Period N Variance error 95% confidence interval
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 70.67 152.2729 12.34 46.49 - 94.86
3 114.69 116.0890 10.77 93.57 - 135.81
4 154.47 11.4633 3.39 147.83 - 161.11
5 114.90 9.4463 3.07 108.87 - 120.92
6 130.29 5.9595 2.44 125.50 - 135.07
7 137.07 108.8400 10.43 116.62 - 157.52
8 94.03 74.6652 8.64 77.10 - 110.97
9 139.17 441.5456 21.01 97.98 - 180.35
10 126.89 265.6604 16.30 94.94 - 158.83
11 78.70 83.6215 9.14 60.78 - 96.63
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 116.09 207.3382 14.40 87.87 - 144.31
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Period B Variance error 95% confidence interval
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2 66.16 181.5831 13.48 39.75 - 92.57
3 67.47 58.3503 7.64 52.50 - 82.45
4 31.09 8.9431 2.99 25.22 - 36.95
5 56.95 5.6284 2.37 52.30 - 61.60
6 71.90 93.7651 9.68 52.92 - 90.88
7 26.43 72.4498 8.51 9.75 - 43.12
8 82.16 486.6074 22.06 38.93 - 125.40
9 43.51 412.7373 20.32 3.69 - 83.33
10 2.63 109.9829 10.49 -17.92 - 23.19
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
MEAN 49.81 35.1108 5.93 38.20 - 61.43
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
JOLLY (Ver:01/24/91) 'REVERSED Mp data, sexes combined,both halves (y=1-15), pers 1-11 11/ 2/99 13:21
Test of model D vs model A Test of model B vs model A Test of model D vs model B
Per T1 T2 T1 T2 T1 T2
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
1 0.0886 0.0000 0.0996 0.0000 0.3760 0.0000
2 3.0832 0.0000 3.0317 0.0186 0.0002 0.0000
3 24.7840 8.0456 15.7183 0.2882 1.1377 4.8469
4 0.0192 4.2287 2.1033 0.4141 1.6771 5.7012
5 5.1216 5.0841 0.8963 0.0821 1.7708 4.2975
6 6.0456 0.0000 3.6299 0.0000 0.3035 0.0000
7 8.1487 3.7731 4.3309 0.7315 0.5950 1.4604
8 2.6295 2.3336 0.5878 3.3490 5.6089 0.1877
9 1.2131 25.1706 0.0182 0.0467 1.5253 28.5905
10 0.0389 19.1008 0.0050 0.0042 0.0159 19.9721
Total 51.1724 67.7364 30.4210 4.9345 13.0105 65.0563
Total chi-square = 118.9088 Total chi-square = 35.3554 Total chi-square = 78.0668
Degrees of freedom = 15 Degrees of freedom = 7 Degrees of freedom = 7
Probability = 0.0000 Probability = 0.0000 Probability = 0.0000
Likelihood-Ratio test of model A versus model 2:
Hypothesis: Survival rate of newly captured animals = survival rate of previously captured animals.
Chi-square = 14.7975 with 9 degrees of freedom (Probability = 0.0966)
Goodness-of-fit tests:
Model Chi-square DF Probability
----- ---------- -- -----------
A 19.0675 14 0.1624
2 0.0000 0 1.0000
B 54.4230 21 0.0001
D 137.9764 29 0.0000